On the wrong track?

In a recent poll sponsored by the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce, 77% of residents said the City by the Bay is heading in the wrong direction. Top concerns included crime, cleanliness, and costs. Meanwhile, hotel occupancy rates hit 61% in March, a 28% year-over-year increase. So it’s clear that folks from outside SF may have a different opinion.

All this could equate to opportunity for savvy buyers looking to take advantage of an exodus!

The Census Sells

The U.S. Census Bureau recently released data from the once-a-decade count, and the report shows that our share of senior residents expanded significantly from 2010 to 2020 and faster than any decade in more than a century. Meanwhile, birth rates continue to decline as more younger couples delay having children to focus on education and careers. The AP has more on the numbers.

As usual, the Census contains some valuable nuggets of data that sellers can leverage to successfully market their homes. For example, 1 in 6 Americans is 65 and older — up from 1 in 8 in 2010 — and our median age has risen eight years since 1980 to 38.8. That means even the perfect social media post may not reach as many potential buyers as a traditional direct mail campaign.

Additionally, it’s interesting to note that 5% of households included three or more generations, and about 19% of Americans reported living with relatives. Given these numbers, it would be wise to highlight an existing ADU on your property — or the potential for adding one. On the flip side, about 28% of households were solo occupants. That’s 35 million possible buyers who may not care as much about schools and other concerns for families and couples.

Round and round it goes

Over the past 40 years, the Bay Area housing market has seen at least four major booms. Every time, experts said the good times would never end. Every time, they were wrong. Economists call this “irrational exuberance”.

Each of these booms – or upcycles – have been followed by market corrections, sometimes with devastating consequences, such as the Great Recession. Every time, experts predicted an endless downward spiral. Every time, they were wrong.

Like any industry, housing markets run in cycles. But despite all the booms and busts, our local market has always come back stronger than ever.

Whether it’s our status as a financial, innovation, and cultural center, spectacular natural beauty and open space, and diversity, inclusion, and opportunity, Silicon Valley continues to be one of the world’s great metropolitan areas.