Mapping San José’s Housing Future

If you’re a regular reader of our blog, you’ve probably heard of “housing elements” – plans that every California city need to update every eight years to set goals for housing development based on projected growth.

If that sounds super geeky, well, that’s because it is. But it doesn’t make it any less important, especially if you’re considering the affordability of homeownership in Silicon Valley.

For example, here’s a Mercury News article with a map of where the City of San José would like to build 77,500 new homes in the next ten years.

Over the River, Through the Woods

AAA estimates that about 113 million people will travel for the holidays, with more than 100 million of them traveling by car. That’s a huge increase of 3.6M travelers over last year, and the latest sign that we’re growing more and more comfortable with post-pandemic living. But it could only take one viral surge to turn an entire industry on its head again. How are you getting to grandma’s house this year?

Pivotal impact

Right here in Silicon Valley, the innovation capital of the world, thousands of foster youth are falling through the cracks. 75% of foster youth in Santa Clara County are performing below grade level, and 47% receive special education services — compared with 12% of the general population. Meanwhile, foster youth supported by Pivotal graduate from college at 10x the national average.

Do these numbers convince you to give?

Sale Price vs. List Price

Our housing market — and the greater economy — remain in a period of adjustment, making buyers and sellers more cautious as they wait to see how the dust will settle. One key indicator of this adjustment is the percentage of homes selling below their list price, which you can track in the chart below.

Number Talk: San Mateo County Market Snapshot

It was more of the same on the San Mateo County real estate market in October. Sales continue to dip year over year – down 39% for houses and nearly 50% for condos – and homes are spending much more time on the market than they were at the same time in 2021. Interestingly, median condo sales prices are up 12% from last year, but houses are selling for 5% less.