We’re not out of the woods yet.

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Driven by a local boom in the AI field, Santa Clara County median house and townhouse sales prices spiked 9% over 2023, topping $1.8 million and setting all-time highs. And while the median condo price was basically unchanged, the numbers of new listings and sales rose substantially. Still, sales volume remained well below what we’ve come to expect, and time on the market did not substantially drop.

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New insights.

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According to a new report from Freddie Mac, 30-year mortgage rates are projected to gradually decline in coming quarters, which could trigger a surge in buyer demand, primarily from first timers. However, a tight inventory will lead to only moderate sales increases, with prices rising 2.1% in 2024.

Meanwhile, boosted by an “AI boom,” median sales prices in the San José metro area are the first to exceed $2 million, and Silicon Valley’s appreciation rate is among the highest in the nation. Overall, 89% of U.S. metro areas saw year-over-year price gains.

Santa Clara County Rising

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The Silicon Valley housing market continues its long rebound, with May seeing year-over-year increases in sales and median prices for both homes and condos in Santa Clara County. But you’ll need to act fast to have a chance at one of these properties because they’re spending less and less time on the block!

Anyone can appreciate this.

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If you ever needed a visualization of the rising cost of homeownership, this chart should do the trick. Tracking median house sales price fluctuations by region since 1990, you can see a significant shift to the West and South and away from the Northeast, even as prices have appreciated across the country. Of course, the last spikes we saw in western sales led to the subprime bubble, so it’s good for investors to be cautious.