Counting by County
/Let’s take a look at how median sales prices for houses stacked up county-by-county from Napa to Monterey in Q4 2022. As you can see, costs get a bit more affordable the further you get from Silicon Valley and the Peninsula.
San Francisco’s “Tech-xit”
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According to Compass market analysis, for the first time in a decade, median home prices in San Francisco fell by 1% from a booming 2021 to a cooling 2022 and came to rest at $1.78 million. Oddly enough, single-family homes are doing twice as well as condos, with more than 60% of sales closing over asking price. Recent tech layoffs certainly won’t help the condo market in months ahead. But it’s yet to be seen how big of an impact the “Tech-xit” will have.
Market Snapshot: San Mateo County
/The market continues to wake up on the cool side of the pillow, with inventory and median sales prices down year over year. Of course, the holidays are typically a slow period, and with the global economy still in recovery mode, we’ll see what the new year has in store.
Skin in the Game
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According to data from the California Association of Realtors, the housing market is weathering the economic downturn better than it did during the Great Recession, as buyers have more skin in the game.
Compared to those who bought their homes before the recession, buyers in recent years have made higher down payments, taken on fewer risky loans and second mortgages, and have higher household incomes. That means we can expect fewer defaults and foreclosures as the market continues to shift.
Rentals on the Rebound
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As COVID eviction moratoriums expire up and down the state, investment in rental properties is on the rise and back to pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, the wages and wealth of renters have remained pretty much stagnant for the better part of this century, while homeowners have seen a surge in their net worth since the early 90s, despite the housing bubble bursting in 2007-08.
