Chic vs. Geek: Stability in Uncertain Times

Many homebuyers are hitting the pause button due to rising interest rates, inflation, and other economic fluctuations. But waiting will only make the price tag higher as long as Silicon Valley home values remain immune from market fluctuations. Let’s take a look at a few reasons why this is true:

CHIC (PEARL)

Wealth: Silicon Valley has the highest level of income and wealth inequality in the U.S., and it increased dramatically during COVID. That means fewer people can afford to buy, and those who can are ready to spend big sums to get what they want.

Jobs: Silicon Valley’s unemployment rate fell to 2.9% at the end of 2021, and tech jobs are now 5% above pre-COVID levels. That means more demand from well-paid workers, and it only deepens as cities continue to miss their housing production goals.

Employer Confidence: Google, LinkedIn, Apple, Amazon, Facebook/Meta and other tech giants made major investments in Silicon Valley real estate in 2021, which means those well-paying jobs aren’t going anywhere, and neither are the service industries that support them.

GEEK (KEVIN)

Investment Housing: The Santa Clara County Housing “Affordability Index” stands at 22%, which means less than 1 in 4 residents can purchase a median priced home. So it should come as no surprise that the share of homes sold for investment hit 9.5% in 2021.

Strong Fundamentals: The housing market boom we’re seeing now in Silicon Valley isn’t a “bubble” like 2007. With the third highest concentration of “equity rich” homes in the country, our region is fundamentally sound and hard to crack.

Future Demand: Over 4.5 million Millennials will turn 30 over the next few years and look to increase wealth through homeownership. And more than a decade of under-building, Capital Gains Tax regulations, and Prop 13 protections are sure to sustain high demand — and prices — for years to come.

Geek's Number Talk: Santa Clara County Market Snapshot - April 2022

It’s the same story we’ve been seeing for a while in the Santa Clara County market, where sold houses in April were down 21% over last year, available houses are spending 33% less time on the market, and average sales prices are up a whopping 21% from ‘21!

Meanwhile, condos are spending less than half the time on the market that they did a year ago, but average sales prices are up just 10% year over year.

Geek's Number Talk: The Honeymoon is Over

According to a new report from Redfin, average monthly mortgage payments are up 39% over just one year ago — a record spike — while interest rates are at their highest mark in more than a decade. But while median sales and asking prices are still rising, home searches, touring activity, and mortgage applications are all in decline, indicating a slowing market as buyers take pause. Get more numbers from Forbes.

Geek's Number Talk: San Mateo County Market Snapshot - March 2022

First-time homebuyers in San Mateo County finally found a silver lining in March, as condo sales actually outpaced activity from the same month one year ago by 9%, while median sales prices only inched up 5%.

Unfortunately, it’s still a hot and fast market, with properties barely having time to marinade before the bidding wars begin. And if you’re looking for a detached house, be ready to spend at least $2M to get into the game.

Geek's Number Talk: Santa Clara County Market Snapshot - Feb. 2022

The Santa Clara County market continues to heat up. House inventory in February was down 17% from one year ago. Consequently, properties are staying on the market half as long and selling at 23% higher rates. The window of opportunity is open slightly wider for condos, but not by much.

Long story short: If you’re considering putting a property on the market, it’s go time!