GEEK (KEVIN)
We’re Not Building Enough
Ever since the housing bubble burst 12 years ago, homebuilders have slowed their pace and become more risk averse. According to Census data, an average of 1.5 million homes have been built each year in America since 1959. However, over the past decade, the pace has slowed to just 900,000 homes a year. Limited production, coupled with enticingly low interest rates and a generation of first-time homebuyers all combine to exacerbate the crisis.
Housing Policy
The CARES Act foreclosure moratorium has kept financially distressed homeowners from selling, but foreclosures were already at record lows before the pandemic. In fact, according to a recent report from CoreLogic, U.S. homeowners have seen their equity increase by $1 trillion since the third quarter of 2019, an increase of 10.8% year over year. So, even with 2.5 million homeowners in the mortgage forbearance program, we shouldn’t expect a wave of foreclosures when the moratorium is lifted.